Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 4.904498e-05 0.000057 0.000066 0.000077 0.000088 0.000100 0.000114
2024-12-29 3.657280e-05 0.000047 0.000060 0.000075 0.000092 0.000112 0.000136
2025-01-05 2.809069e-05 0.000040 0.000054 0.000073 0.000095 0.000121 0.000154
2025-01-12 2.163177e-05 0.000034 0.000049 0.000070 0.000096 0.000128 0.000168
2025-01-19 1.653537e-05 0.000028 0.000044 0.000066 0.000095 0.000132 0.000180
2025-01-26 1.307483e-05 0.000024 0.000041 0.000064 0.000096 0.000138 0.000193
2025-02-02 1.171590e-05 0.000023 0.000041 0.000067 0.000104 0.000151 0.000216
2025-02-09 9.950665e-06 0.000021 0.000039 0.000067 0.000108 0.000161 0.000234
2025-02-16 9.710535e-06 0.000022 0.000042 0.000073 0.000119 0.000180 0.000265
2025-02-23 8.539961e-06 0.000021 0.000041 0.000074 0.000124 0.000191 0.000286
2025-03-02 6.452752e-06 0.000017 0.000037 0.000070 0.000120 0.000190 0.000290
2025-03-09 5.117806e-06 0.000015 0.000034 0.000068 0.000119 0.000193 0.000299
2025-03-16 3.755538e-06 0.000013 0.000032 0.000066 0.000120 0.000200 0.000317
2025-03-23 2.727013e-06 0.000011 0.000029 0.000064 0.000122 0.000208 0.000337
2025-03-30 1.911588e-06 0.000009 0.000027 0.000062 0.000123 0.000215 0.000355
2025-04-06 1.258865e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000060 0.000123 0.000220 0.000371
2025-04-13 7.669879e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000057 0.000121 0.000222 0.000383
2025-04-20 4.765749e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000055 0.000121 0.000228 0.000399
2025-04-27 3.878900e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000058 0.000129 0.000246 0.000434
2025-05-04 2.663107e-07 0.000004 0.000020 0.000058 0.000133 0.000257 0.000459
2025-05-11 2.596726e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000063 0.000146 0.000283 0.000508
2025-05-18 1.865647e-07 0.000004 0.000021 0.000064 0.000152 0.000298 0.000538
2025-05-25 7.967317e-08 0.000003 0.000018 0.000060 0.000147 0.000296 0.000544